Conservatives No Closer to Majority, Pollster Says

Summary


[Nik Nanos] compares it to the stock market. "A stock moves up all of a sudden and someone says, 'Hold on a second.' And then you get a correction. It shows how conflicted Canadians are. Once (Conservative support) reaches a certain level and Canadians start thinking about [Stephen Harper] and the Conservatives forming a majority, they start to get a little nervous and the numbers go back down."

"And that's the one thing the Conservatives have to be very careful of. If they keep running negative ads and if one of those negative ads goes a little too far, then it actually might have the opposite effect. It might actually re-ignite [Dion]'s image and he will be able to get up and say: 'See, I told you. They are extreme. They go too far.'"

There's more trouble on Harper's horizon. "Another issue as we look forward is Canadians asking, 'If the Conservatives have a majority, how long would we be in Afghanistan?' This is an issue to really watch."

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Conservatives No Closer to Majority, Pollster Says

FRANCES RUSSELL

SPRING election fever is fading in Ottawa. Nik Nanos, president of SES Research, the Ottawa polling firm that called both the 2004 and 2006 elections within less than a percentage point for each party, says the main reason is Prime Min...

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